Matthew Freedman's Guide to Betting 2022 NFL Preseason Games

 Matthew Freedman's Guide to Betting 2022 NFL Preseason Games


It's August, and that implies it's the ideal opportunity for football. No, it's not genuine football. It's superior to that. It's preseason football.


In the event that you're a genuine savage, the preseason is your SZN — on the grounds that you're the main individual you know wiped out to the point of wagering on this. Not your bizarre uncle. Not your secondary school math educator. Not your nearby neighbor with the unironic mustache. Not even your postal worker.

You. Just you.

Furthermore, me. Furthermore, my corrupted companions in the FREE BettingPros Discord. We are in general all around the preseason.

Go along with us.

How about we lose some cash together. Since we're sufficiently imbecilic to wager on NFL preseason games. The football divine beings are great watching it with a live coverage on youtube.

The following are 10 rules for how I'm risking everything NFL preseason.

Incidentally, you can find the posted chances for each preseason game on our BettingPros chances page.


Shortenings: Against the spread (ATS), over/under (O/U), profit from venture (ROI), changed yards per endeavor (AY/A)


2022 NFL Preseason Guidelines

Wager on the Ravens

For HC John Harbaugh, the preseason should be the Super Bowl. His groups come to play in the preseason, and they are typically profound, restrained and forceful, consequently difficult to beat. All through his residency, the Ravens are 40-12 on the moneyline (45% ROI, per BetLabs) and 36-15-1 ATS.

I question we'll consider them to be dark horses anytime this preseason (versus Titans, at Cardinals, versus Officers), however on the off chance that we do, I'll make certain to make them my mega super supersized 100-unit whale play (I'm kidding): In the preseason, Harbaugh is 17-5 ATS as a canine.


Two or three edges the Ravens have:

K Justin Tucker is superior to anything instructional course kickers a great deal of different groups carry out in preseason games.

QBs Tyler Huntley and Brett Hundley are better than expected players for where they are on the profundity outline.

Moneyline, spread, makes no difference either way. I'm wagering on the Ravens. They're - 4.5 home top picks versus Titans in Week 1 (DraftKings).


Blur the Lions … Maybe … But Definitely Take the Under in Their Games

Last year the Lions were valid legends 해외스포츠배팅사이트 under HC Dan Campbell, going 11-6 ATS generally speaking and 4-1 ATS versus groups with winning rates over .500.

Furthermore, this year they're the group I like the most comparative with the market in my power appraisals. In any case, I'm not by any means the only individual who likes them. They're one of the most famous groups for sports bettors to back entering the season.

The Lions have one of the association's most useless programs — reinforcement QBs Tim Boyle (3.4 AY/A for his vocation) and David Blough (4.3 AY/A) are horrible — so it's not difficult to perceive how they could neglect to cover. Be that as it may, they really do have a make a solid attempt ethos, which could empower them on protection to get pauses and drive the game to the under. Perhaps I'll wager against the Lions this preseason. I will more likely than not put everything on the line in their games.

View our Pick of the Day in the BettingPros versatile application (free!) 


Wager Unders — Especially in Warm Weather



Before 2014, overs and unders were genuinely adjusted in the preseason, however for the beyond eight years the under is 245-183-8.

I don't have the foggiest idea what changed in 2014 … yet I figure it very well may worldwide warm.

I'm kidding, kind of.

In games with a temperature of something like 90 degrees Fahrenheit, the under is 8-1. I notice this since I need to demonstrate the way that I can spell "Fahrenheit" on the principal attempt (supposedly), and furthermore it has been a blistering summer and we could get a few warm games. For Week 1, these are the challenges that could introduce a climate informed an open door for unders.

  • Browns at Jaguars: 33.0 (- 110, FanDuel)
  • Dolphins at Buccaneers: 33.0 (- 110, Caesars)

Nobody needs to apply maximal exertion in the Florida heat.


Wager Unders in Rams Games

HC Sean McVay has a laid out scorn for the preseason. He never plays his secured in starters, particularly on offense, and that implies that the Rams seldom light up the scoreboard. Last year, they arrived at the midpoint of simply 11.3 focuses per game in the preseason.

For his profession, McVay in August is 10-4-1 to the under. 


Wager on Unpopular Moneyline Road Underdogs

We're truly stirring things up around town spot here. 

  • Moneyline canines, so we're getting in addition to chances. 
  • Street groups, which individuals could do without to back.
  • Disliked wagers, so we're blurring people in general.

In the preseason, street canines getting something like 35% of the moneyline wagers are 54-71-1 (14.8% ROI). Looking forward to Week 1, I could see the Falcons (at Lions) and Jets (at Eagles) being disliked street canines.


Wager in Teams With Quarterback Battles

A couple of groups have quarterback skirmishes (of fluctuating degrees) being pursued right currently in instructional course.

Jaguars: Baker Mayfield versus Sam Darnold

Steelers: Mitchell Trubisky versus Bricklayer Rudolph versus Kenny Pickett

Seahawks: Geno Smith versus Drew Lock

My reasoning is that these groups will altogether have winning 먹튀검증 사이트 추천 ATS records this preseason for three reasons. The reinforcement quarterbacks going after beginning position are (presumably) better than the reinforcement passers for most groups.

Since the reinforcement quarterbacks are contending to be starters, they (and their encompassing colleagues on the field) will play with more reason than they in any case would.

Since they are assessing the quarterback position, the mentors for these groups will treat their preseason games more genuinely than their adversaries do. I haven't backtested this hypothesis, so bet it in spite of the obvious danger.


Wager on the Seahawks

The Seahawks are one of the groups with a quarterback fight, and under HC Pete Carroll they are 26-16-1 ATS in the preseason. Carroll's preseason achievement sounds good to me: He feels like the sort of mentor who might focus on playing hard and winning, regardless of the conditions. His ineptitude is our benefit.


Wager on the Bills

The Bills are the No. 1 group in my power appraisals. They have one of the association's best lists, including at quarterback: No. 2 QB Case Keenum is a 10-year veteran with 64 standard season begins, and negative. 3 QB Matt Barkley has three years of involvement in the Bills as starter Josh Allen's reinforcement in 2018-20. They have a laid out instructing staff, and HC Sean McDermott is 10-4-1 ATS in the preseason for his profession and 7-0 ATS beginning around 2019, Allen's most memorable year to enter instructional course as the secured in starter. They may be pasty, however that probably won't prevent them from overwhelming.


Wager Under in the Hall of Fame Game

Notwithstanding the wagering opportunity it gives, the Hall of Fame game would be a sheer exercise in futility. It resembles the's preseason. However much players and groups couldn't care less about the preseason, they particularly couldn't care less about the Hall of Fame game.


Recollect how unders began hitting at an expanded rate in 2014?

From that point forward, the Hall of Fame game under is 5-1. Coming from New England, Raiders HC Josh McDaniels appears to be probably not going to push his group to apply a lot of exertion in this game, and Jaguars HC Doug Pederson has a Urban Meyer-spoiled offense that could battle to score CLICK HERE


Try not to Bet Your Entire Bankroll

However fun as wagering on the preseason seems to be, be certain not to go overboard. It's football … however it's not actually football.

Popular posts from this blog

Padres Trade Eric Hosmer to Red Sox After Rejected Deal to Nats

Canelo Alvarez versus Gennadiy Golovkin Boxing Chances, Pick and Expectation: How to Wager Huge Set of three Battle

Paolo Banchero Goes No.1 After Wild Ride at Betting Boards